The original UFC 114 fight card had Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (18-3) fighting Forrest Griffin on May 29th, 2010. However, on May 4th Griffin was forced to pull out with an injured shoulder and he was quickly replaced with Jason Brilz (18-2-1). What was once a highly anticipated fight now seems to be sort of a dud. Nogueira, a seasoned MMA veteran who is looking to make a name for himself in UFC, was already considered the clear favorite by the UFC betting lines in the bout against Griffin and things should be no different against Brilz. Brilz has a respectable record, but has never fought anyone in Nogueira’s class and this win would be huge for his career. Nogueira should win this fight, but needs to be careful not to underestimate the relatively unknown Brilz. The UFC betting is undecided on his ability this far.
Nogueira is the twin brother of UFC former heavyweight champion Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira and is in his second UFC fight after a career in PRIDE and Affliction. Nogueira was very impressive in his debut at UFC 106 in November 2009 with a TKO over Luiz Cane that was named Knockout of the Night. He is an extremely formidable fighter who is both an expert in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu and is an accomplished boxer, making him dangerous both on his feet and on the ground.
Brilz is fighting fighting in his fifth UFC match. He is currently 3-1, with his last victory over Eric Schafer in March of this year. While maintaining a good record, this fight pits Brilz against a far more accomplished and talented than he has ever faced and would be a significant boost in his career if could achieve the victory. A wrestler by training, Brilz showed in his victory over Schafer that he can win against fighters who are seen as the clear favorite, even by UFC betting.
This is Nogueira’s match to lose. With less than four weeks to prepare, Brilz should be easily outfought by the Brazilian veteran. Brilz is in no way a pushover and it would be a huge mistake for Nogueira to treat him lightly, but if Nogueira fights well the victory should be his. Is this an easy fight to bet on? UFC betting is divided. Head over to www.sportsbook.com where everybody bets.